Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 259.734911 293.854724 332.024624 378.126922 432.615575 495.352275 573.611269
2024-10-27 199.035011 240.587458 291.210244 358.271720 446.069477 558.960196 718.203108
2024-11-03 179.295183 226.726458 288.027499 374.786779 497.320338 668.864113 936.051826
2024-11-10 166.642307 218.603331 289.107007 394.622382 553.784346 794.251103 1204.995427
2024-11-17 151.062977 203.824756 278.166039 394.449675 579.451353 877.241108 1427.938760
2024-11-24 135.723987 187.270713 262.126994 383.503158 585.329304 928.141066 1607.648091
2024-12-01 123.320287 173.501452 248.329230 373.597893 590.373043 977.261337 1796.153341
2024-12-08 117.540384 168.903376 247.742329 384.482786 631.983258 1099.571386 2169.132042
2024-12-15 110.570837 161.721019 242.168309 385.973547 656.589676 1194.222918 2513.997121
2024-12-22 102.736471 152.443673 232.198022 378.377068 662.606124 1252.114782 2791.809506
2024-12-29 97.289022 146.513557 227.138417 378.820659 684.118685 1347.291465 3201.902325
2025-01-05 90.971268 138.642937 218.038081 370.626490 686.650284 1400.321286 3517.188659
2025-01-12 86.265986 133.266356 213.049106 370.197167 706.689143 1502.383483 4037.583547
2025-01-19 79.283550 123.562799 199.666099 352.007989 685.508085 1498.983073 4222.002052
2025-01-26 77.896093 123.352230 203.264588 368.047675 743.927991 1716.157905 5298.378822
2025-02-02 76.983329 123.871683 208.202683 387.441466 814.104251 1988.510703 6798.665752
2025-02-09 73.663029 119.832710 204.182982 387.271769 836.381238 2129.071686 7857.687361
2025-02-16 69.381013 113.765392 195.783955 376.575350 830.011487 2179.701300 8535.678470
2025-02-23 65.560964 108.317578 188.194629 366.894722 824.849766 2233.680432 9286.253169
2025-03-02 64.235155 107.410560 189.486000 377.532671 876.616465 2497.911036 11505.346055
2025-03-09 62.038125 104.716316 186.962589 378.989469 903.138316 2683.248894 13485.143331
2025-03-16 59.123540 100.482047 180.984614 371.565700 902.712098 2767.985004 14888.462791
2025-03-23 57.154819 97.956277 178.357271 371.999230 925.912657 2955.509313 17378.051928